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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CruzeiroMirassol
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 30% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (29.6%)Doppelte Chance1X70.4%1.42
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 47% · Nein 53%Beide Teams treffenNein53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Cruzeiro win40%2.50
Unentschieden30%3.33
Mirassol win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruzeiro1.34

Heim share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

Mirassol1.01

Auswärts share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nein 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Mirassol

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
CruzeiroMirassol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruzeiro signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruzeiro Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 30%,Mirassol Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter