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バーネット vs サルフォードシティ

Archived pre-match prediction

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1バーネットサルフォードシティ
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 29% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)ダブルチャンス1270.7%1.41
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.53 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
バーネット win41%2.44
引き分け29%3.45
サルフォードシティ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

バーネット1.44

ホーム share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

サルフォードシティ1.09

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

バーネット

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サルフォードシティ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.44
Expected goals
1.09
バーネットサルフォードシティ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01バーネット signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サルフォードシティ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

バーネット vs サルフォードシティ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

バーネット 勝ち 41%,引き分け 29%,サルフォードシティ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー