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ENG England - League 2 · Match ·

Barnet vs Salford City

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger41%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–1BarnetSalford City
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
41% / 29% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dubbelchans1270.7%1.41
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Barnet win41%2.44
Oavgjort29%3.45
Salford City win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barnet1.44

Hemma share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

Salford City1.09

Borta share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Barnet

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Salford City

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.44
Expected goals
1.09
BarnetSalford City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barnet signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Salford City signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Barnet vs Salford City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barnet vunnen 41%,Oavgjort 29%,Salford City vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under