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ノッツカウンティ vs レスター

Archived pre-match prediction

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利30%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ノッツカウンティレスター
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー52% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 26% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)ダブルチャンス1274.1%1.35
オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%Goals 2.5アンダー52%1.92
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.61 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ノッツカウンティ win44%2.27
引き分け26%3.85
レスター win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ノッツカウンティ1.46

ホーム share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 48% · アンダー 52%

レスター1.15

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ノッツカウンティ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レスター

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.46
Expected goals
1.15
ノッツカウンティレスター
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ノッツカウンティ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レスター signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ノッツカウンティ vs レスター FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ノッツカウンティ 勝ち 44%,引き分け 26%,レスター 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · オーバー 2.5 48% · Current selection アンダー