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Notts County vs Leicester

Archived pre-match prediction

Casa form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite30%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Notts CountyLeicester
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 26% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppia Chance1274.1%1.35
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.61 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Notts County win44%2.27
Pareggio26%3.85
Leicester win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Notts County1.46

Casa share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

Leicester1.15

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Notts County

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Leicester

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.46
Expected goals
1.15
Notts CountyLeicester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Notts County signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leicester signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Notts County vs Leicester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Notts County vinta 44%,Pareggio 26%,Leicester vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto