MatchFormula 試合を検索
Menu
UTC+8
タイムゾーンAsia/Shanghai
日本語
FIN フィンランド コルモネン · 試合 ·

MPS vs ESPA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score0–22.28 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利10%
引き分け15%
アウェイ勝利75%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利75% selection probability
Projected score0–2MPSESPA
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
10% / 15% / 75%試合結果アウェイ勝利75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (10%)ダブルチャンスX290%1.11
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 32% · いいえ 68%両チーム得点いいえ68%1.47
2.28 total expected goals正確なスコア0–2
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MPS win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
引き分け15%6.676.2514.5%+0.5 pp
ESPA win75%1.331.2075.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MPS0.47

ホーム share of expected goals 20.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

ESPA1.81

アウェイ share of expected goals 79.4%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitはい 32% · いいえ 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

MPS

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ESPA

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
勝ち probability excluding draw
75%
3
Points from supplied form
13
0.47
Expected goals
1.81
MPSESPA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MPS signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ESPA signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

MPS vs ESPA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 0–2 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MPS 勝ち 10%,引き分け 15%,ESPA 勝ち 75%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー