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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Mérkőzés ·

MPS vs ESPA

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score0–22.28 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem10%
Döntetlen15%
Vendég győzelem75%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem75% selection probability
Projected score0–2MPSESPA
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
10% / 15% / 75%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (10%)Dupla esélyX290%1.11
Felett 40% · Alatt 60%Goals 2.5Alatt60%1.67
Igen 32% · Nem 68%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem68%1.47
2.28 total expected goalsPontos eredmény0–2
9.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MPS win10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Döntetlen15%6.676.2514.5%+0.5 pp
ESPA win75%1.331.2075.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MPS0.47

Hazai share of expected goals 20.6%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 40% · Alatt 60%

ESPA1.81

Vendég share of expected goals 79.4%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitIgen 32% · Nem 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

MPS

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

ESPA

2.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontok13

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Nyert probability excluding draw
75%
3
Points from supplied form
13
0.47
Expected goals
1.81
MPSESPA
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MPS signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ESPA signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

MPS vs ESPA FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 0–2 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MPS nyer 10%,Döntetlen 15%,ESPA nyer 75%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · 2.5 felett 40% · Current selection Alatt