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LVA ラトビア ヴィルスリーガ · Round 25 ·

BFCダウガフピルス vs トゥクムス2000

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFCダウガフピルストゥクムス2000
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 27% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)ダブルチャンス1272.6%1.38
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.88 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
BFCダウガフピルス win45%2.22
引き分け27%3.70
トゥクムス2000 win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFCダウガフピルス1.72

ホーム share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

トゥクムス20001.16

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

BFCダウガフピルス

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

トゥクムス2000

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.72
Expected goals
1.16
BFCダウガフピルストゥクムス2000
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFCダウガフピルス signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02トゥクムス2000 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

BFCダウガフピルス vs トゥクムス2000 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFCダウガフピルス 勝ち 45%,引き分け 27%,トゥクムス2000 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー