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MNE モンテネグロ プルヴァリーガ · 試合 ·

FKモルナルバー vs アルセナル・ティヴァト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.30 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利58%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利15%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利58% selection probability
Projected score2–1FKモルナルバーアルセナル・ティヴァト
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
58% / 27% / 15%試合結果ホーム勝利58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アルセナル・ティヴァト win (15%)ダブルチャンス1X85%1.18
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
2.30 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
7.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FKモルナルバー win58%1.72
引き分け27%3.70
アルセナル・ティヴァト win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FKモルナルバー1.80

ホーム share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

アルセナル・ティヴァト0.50

アウェイ share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FKモルナルバー

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルセナル・ティヴァト

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
勝ち probability excluding draw
15%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.50
FKモルナルバーアルセナル・ティヴァト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FKモルナルバー signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルセナル・ティヴァト signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FKモルナルバー vs アルセナル・ティヴァト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FKモルナルバー 勝ち 58%,引き分け 27%,アルセナル・ティヴァト 勝ち 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー