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ISL アイスランド 4.デイルトカルラ · 試合 ·

ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ vs アラフォス

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け21%
アウェイ勝利35%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–2ハマール・クヴェラゲルジアラフォス
Expected goals3.74始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー72% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 21% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)ダブルチャンス1278.6%1.27
オーバー 72% · アンダー 28%Goals 2.5オーバー72%1.39
はい 71% · いいえ 29%両チーム得点はい71%1.41
3.74 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
12.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ win43%2.33
引き分け21%4.76
アラフォス win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ1.97

ホーム share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.74始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 72% · アンダー 28%

アラフォス1.77

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 71% · いいえ 29%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アラフォス

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
1.77
ハマール・クヴェラゲルジアラフォス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アラフォス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ vs アラフォス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ハマール・クヴェラゲルジ 勝ち 43%,引き分け 21%,アラフォス 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · オーバー 2.5 72% · Current selection オーバー