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ISL Islandi 4. deild · Mäng ·

Hamar Hveragerði vs Alafoss

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit43%
Viik21%
Võõrsilvõit35%
Baseline forecastKoduvõitTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Hamar HveragerðiAlafoss
Expected goals3.74Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
43% / 21% / 35%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Topeltvõimalus1278.6%1.27
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 71% · Ei 29%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
12.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Hamar Hveragerði win43%2.33
Viik21%4.76
Alafoss win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamar Hveragerði1.97

Kodu share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.74Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

Alafoss1.77

Võõras share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 71% · Ei 29%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Hamar Hveragerði

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Alafoss

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Võit probability excluding draw
35%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
1.77
Hamar HveragerðiAlafoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamar Hveragerði signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alafoss signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hamar Hveragerði vs Alafoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamar Hveragerði võit 43%,Viik 21%,Alafoss võit 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle