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ISL Islandia - 4 Deild · Partido ·

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Alafoss

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante35%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Hamar HveragerdiAlafoss
Expected goals3.74Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de72% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 21% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Doble Oportunidad1278.6%1.27
Más de 72% · Menos de 28%Goals 2.5Más de72%1.39
Sí 71% · No 29%Ambos equipos marcan71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Hamar Hveragerdi win43%2.33
Empate21%4.76
Alafoss win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamar Hveragerdi1.97

Local share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.74Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 72% · Menos de 28%

Alafoss1.77

Visitante share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Hamar Hveragerdi

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alafoss

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
1.77
Hamar HveragerdiAlafoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamar Hveragerdi signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alafoss signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Alafoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamar Hveragerdi ganada 43%,Empate 21%,Alafoss ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Más de 2.5 72% · Current selection Más de