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ISL Islanda - 4ª Divisione · Partita ·

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Alafoss

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite35%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Hamar HveragerdiAlafoss
Expected goals3.74Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 21% / 35%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Doppia Chance1278.6%1.27
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
12.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Hamar Hveragerdi win43%2.33
Pareggio21%4.76
Alafoss win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamar Hveragerdi1.97

Casa share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.74Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

Alafoss1.77

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Hamar Hveragerdi

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Alafoss

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
35%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
1.77
Hamar HveragerdiAlafoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamar Hveragerdi signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alafoss signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Alafoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamar Hveragerdi vinta 43%,Pareggio 21%,Alafoss vinta 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra