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ISL Islanda - 4ª Divisione · Round 15 ·

Ellidi vs Arborg

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite56%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite56% selection probability
Projected score2–2EllidiArborg
Expected goals3.73Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 20% / 56%Esito partitaVittoria ospite56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.5%)Doppia Chance1280.5%1.24
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
3.73 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
11.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ellidi win25%4.003.9023.2%
Pareggio20%5.004.7519.1%
Arborg win56%1.791.5757.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ellidi1.60

Casa share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals3.73Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

Arborg2.13

Trasferta share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ellidi

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Arborg

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
56%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
2.13
EllidiArborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ellidi signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arborg signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ellidi vs Arborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ellidi vinta 25%,Pareggio 20%,Arborg vinta 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra