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ISL Islande - 4.Deild · Round 15 ·

Ellidi vs Arborg

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur56%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur56% selection probability
Projected score2–2EllidiArborg
Expected goals3.73Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui71% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 20% / 56%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.5%)Double chance1280.5%1.24
Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%Goals 2.5Plus de72%1.39
Oui 71% · Non 29%Les deux équipes marquentOui71%1.41
3.73 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
11.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ellidi win25%4.003.9023.2%
Nul20%5.004.7519.1%
Arborg win56%1.791.5757.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ellidi1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals3.73Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%

Arborg2.13

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 71% · Non 29%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ellidi

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Arborg

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
56%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
2.13
EllidiArborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ellidi signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arborg signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ellidi vs Arborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ellidi victoire 25%,Nul 20%,Arborg victoire 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Plus de 2.5 72% · Current selection Plus de