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ISL Island - 4. deild · Kamp ·

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Alafoss

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr43%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr35%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Hamar HveragerdiAlafoss
Expected goals3.74Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
43% / 21% / 35%KampresultatHjemmesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Dobbeltchance1278.6%1.27
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nej 29%Begge hold scorerJa71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
12.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Hamar Hveragerdi win43%2.33
Uafgjort21%4.76
Alafoss win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamar Hveragerdi1.97

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.74Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Alafoss1.77

Ude share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nej 29%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Hamar Hveragerdi

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Alafoss

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vundet probability excluding draw
35%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
1.77
Hamar HveragerdiAlafoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamar Hveragerdi signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alafoss signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Alafoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamar Hveragerdi vundet 43%,Uafgjort 21%,Alafoss vundet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over