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ISL Исландия - 4 Деилд · Мач ·

Хамар Хвеrагерди vs Алафос

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен21%
Победа за госта35%
Baseline forecastПобеда за домакинаTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Хамар ХвеrагердиАлафос
Expected goals3.74Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над72% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 21% / 35%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Двоен шанс1278.6%1.27
Над 72% · Под 28%Goals 2.5Над72%1.39
Да 71% · Не 29%И двата отбора да отбележатДа71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
12.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Хамар Хвеrагерди win43%2.33
Равен21%4.76
Алафос win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хамар Хвеrагерди1.97

Домакин share of expected goals 52.7%

Total expected goals3.74Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 72% · Под 28%

Алафос1.77

Гост share of expected goals 47.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 71% · Не 29%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Хамар Хвеrагерди

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Алафос

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
35%
13
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
1.77
Хамар ХвеrагердиАлафос
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хамар Хвеrагерди signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алафос signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Хамар Хвеrагерди vs Алафос FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хамар Хвеrагерди печеливш 43%,Равен 21%,Алафос печеливш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Над 2.5 72% · Current selection Над