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ISL Island - 4. deild · Kamp ·

Alftanes vs IH Hafnarfjordur

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr89%
Uafgjort8%
Udesejr3%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 89% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr89% selection probability
Projected score3–1AlftanesIH Hafnarfjordur
Expected goals3.87Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
89% / 8% / 3%KampresultatHjemmesejr89%1.12
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IH Hafnarfjordur win (3.2%)Dobbeltchance1X96.8%1.03
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Ja 68% · Nej 32%Begge hold scorerJa68%1.47
3.87 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alftanes win89%1.121.0491.3%
Uafgjort8%12.5015.006.3%
IH Hafnarfjordur win3%33.3341.002.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alftanes2.78

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.87Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

IH Hafnarfjordur1.09

Ude share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nej 32%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Alftanes

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

IH Hafnarfjordur

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
89%
Vundet probability excluding draw
3%
15
Points from supplied form
4
2.78
Expected goals
1.09
AlftanesIH Hafnarfjordur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alftanes signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IH Hafnarfjordur signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk11% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 8%.

Match questions

Alftanes vs IH Hafnarfjordur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 89% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alftanes vundet 89%,Uafgjort 8%,IH Hafnarfjordur vundet 3%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over