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ISL Iceland 4 Deild · Fixture ·

Alftanes vs IH Hafnarfjordur

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.87 expected goals
Away form
Home win89%
Draw8%
Away win3%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 89% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win89% selection probability
Projected score3–1AlftanesIH Hafnarfjordur
Expected goals3.87Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
89% / 8% / 3%Match resultHome win89%1.12
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IH Hafnarfjordur win (3.2%)Double chance1X96.8%1.03
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.87 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
11.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alftanes win89%1.121.0491.3%
Draw8%12.5015.006.3%
IH Hafnarfjordur win3%33.3341.002.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alftanes2.78

Home share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.87Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

IH Hafnarfjordur1.09

Away share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Alftanes

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

IH Hafnarfjordur

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
89%
Win probability excluding draw
3%
15
Points from supplied form
4
2.78
Expected goals
1.09
AlftanesIH Hafnarfjordur
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alftanes signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IH Hafnarfjordur signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk11% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 8%.

Match questions

Alftanes vs IH Hafnarfjordur FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 89% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alftanes win 89%,Draw 8%,IH Hafnarfjordur win 3%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over