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USA USA - NWSL Femminile · Partita ·

Washington Spirit (F) vs North Carolina Courage (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite22%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Washington Spirit (F)North Carolina Courage (F)
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 25% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes North Carolina Courage (F) win (22%)Doppia Chance1X78%1.28
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sotto50%2.00
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.67 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNorth Carolina Courage (F) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Washington Spirit (F) win53%1.891.7052.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
North Carolina Courage (F) win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Washington Spirit (F)1.80

Casa share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

North Carolina Courage (F)0.87

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Washington Spirit (F)

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

North Carolina Courage (F)

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.87
Washington Spirit (F)North Carolina Courage (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Washington Spirit (F) signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Carolina Courage (F) signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Washington Spirit (F) vs North Carolina Courage (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Washington Spirit (F) vinta 53%,Pareggio 25%,North Carolina Courage (F) vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sotto