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Washington Spirit (K) vs North Carolina Courage (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr53%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Washington Spirit (K)North Carolina Courage (K)
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
53% / 25% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes North Carolina Courage (K) win (22%)Dobbeltchance1X78%1.28
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNorth Carolina Courage (K) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Washington Spirit (K) win53%1.891.7052.7%+0.3 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
North Carolina Courage (K) win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Washington Spirit (K)1.80

Hjemme share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

North Carolina Courage (K)0.87

Ude share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Washington Spirit (K)

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

North Carolina Courage (K)

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.87
Washington Spirit (K)North Carolina Courage (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Washington Spirit (K) signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Carolina Courage (K) signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Washington Spirit (K) vs North Carolina Courage (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Washington Spirit (K) vundet 53%,Uafgjort 25%,North Carolina Courage (K) vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under