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USA EUA - NWSL - Feminino · Partida ·

Washington Spirit (F) vs North Carolina Courage (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa53%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante22%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Washington Spirit (F)North Carolina Courage (F)
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo50% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
53% / 25% / 22%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes North Carolina Courage (F) win (22%)Dupla Chance1X78%1.28
Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%Goals 2.5Abaixo50%2.00
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.67 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNorth Carolina Courage (F) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Washington Spirit (F) win53%1.891.7052.7%+0.3 pp
Empate25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
North Carolina Courage (F) win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Washington Spirit (F)1.80

Mandante share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%

North Carolina Courage (F)0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Washington Spirit (F)

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

North Carolina Courage (F)

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
0.87
Washington Spirit (F)North Carolina Courage (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Washington Spirit (F) signalMandante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Carolina Courage (F) signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Washington Spirit (F) vs North Carolina Courage (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Washington Spirit (F) ganhou 53%,Empate 25%,North Carolina Courage (F) ganhou 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Acima 2.5 50% · Current selection Abaixo