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USA USA - NWSL Femminile · Partita ·

Orlando Pride (F) vs Racing Louisville FC (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite22%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Orlando Pride (F)Racing Louisville FC (F)
Expected goals3.07Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 25% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Racing Louisville FC (F) win (22.3%)Doppia Chance1X77.7%1.29
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapOrlando Pride (F) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orlando Pride (F) win53%1.891.6753.4%-0.4 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Racing Louisville FC (F) win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orlando Pride (F)1.74

Casa share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.07Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%

Racing Louisville FC (F)1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Orlando Pride (F)

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Racing Louisville FC (F)

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.74
Expected goals
1.33
Orlando Pride (F)Racing Louisville FC (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orlando Pride (F) signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Racing Louisville FC (F) signalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Orlando Pride (F) vs Racing Louisville FC (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orlando Pride (F) vinta 53%,Pareggio 25%,Racing Louisville FC (F) vinta 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra