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Tottenham vs Newcastle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.82 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1TottenhamNewcastle
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 27% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Doppia Chance1273.4%1.36
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapNewcastle winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tottenham win42%2.382.2042.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp
Newcastle win32%3.133.0031%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tottenham1.41

Casa share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

Newcastle1.41

Trasferta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Tottenham

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Newcastle

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.41
Expected goals
1.41
TottenhamNewcastle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tottenham signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newcastle signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Tottenham vs Newcastle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tottenham vinta 42%,Pareggio 27%,Newcastle vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra