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ENG 英格蘭超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

托定咸熱刺 vs 紐卡斯爾

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.82 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝42%
27%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–1托定咸熱刺紐卡斯爾
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.553% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
42% / 27% / 32%比賽結果主勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)雙重機會1273.4%1.36
大 53% · 小 47%Goals 2.553%1.89
是 57% · 否 43%雙方進球57%1.75
2.82 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gap紐卡斯爾 winDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
托定咸熱刺 win42%2.382.2042.3%-0.3 pp
27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp
紐卡斯爾 win32%3.133.0031%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

托定咸熱刺1.41

主隊 share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 53% · 47%

紐卡斯爾1.41

客隊 share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 57% · 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

托定咸熱刺

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

紐卡斯爾

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.41
Expected goals
1.41
托定咸熱刺紐卡斯爾
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01托定咸熱刺 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02紐卡斯爾 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

托定咸熱刺 vs 紐卡斯爾 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

托定咸熱刺 42%, 27%,紐卡斯爾 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · 大2.5 53% · Current selection