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DEU Germania - Lega 3 · Round 1 ·

FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite32%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC IngolstadtWurzburger Kickers
Expected goals3.16Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 23% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Doppia Chance1276.7%1.30
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 63% · No 37%Entrambe le squadre segnano63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
FC Ingolstadt win45%2.22
Pareggio23%4.35
Wurzburger Kickers win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ingolstadt1.73

Casa share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

Wurzburger Kickers1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FC Ingolstadt

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Wurzburger Kickers

0.00pts / match
Giocate0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punti0

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
FC IngolstadtWurzburger Kickers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ingolstadt signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wurzburger Kickers signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ingolstadt vinta 45%,Pareggio 23%,Wurzburger Kickers vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra