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DEU Γερμανία - 3.Liga · Round 1 ·

Ίνγκολσταντ vs Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου32%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΊνγκολσταντΒουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς
Expected goals3.16Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 23% / 32%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1276.7%1.30
Άνω 61% · Κάτω 39%Goals 2.5Άνω61%1.64
Ναι 63% · Όχι 37%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ίνγκολσταντ win45%2.22
Ισοπαλία23%4.35
Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ίνγκολσταντ1.73

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 61% · Κάτω 39%

Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς1.43

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 63% · Όχι 37%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ίνγκολσταντ

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι0

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
ΊνγκολσταντΒουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ίνγκολσταντ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ίνγκολσταντ vs Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ίνγκολσταντ νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Βουρζμπούργκερ Κίκερς νίκη 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Άνω 2.5 61% · Current selection Άνω