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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partita ·

Juventud Antoniana vs CA Alvarado

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.15 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa29%
Pareggio40%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastPareggioTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callPareggio40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud AntonianaCA Alvarado
Expected goals1.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto89% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
29% / 40% / 31%Esito partitaPareggio40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juventud Antoniana win (28.7%)Doppia ChanceX271.3%1.40
Sopra 11% · Sotto 89%Goals 2.5Sotto89%1.12
Sì 20% · No 80%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo80%1.25
1.15 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Juventud Antoniana win29%3.45
Pareggio40%2.50
CA Alvarado win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud Antoniana0.55

Casa share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals1.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 11% · Sotto 89%

CA Alvarado0.60

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 20% · No 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Juventud Antoniana

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CA Alvarado

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.55
Expected goals
0.60
Juventud AntonianaCA Alvarado
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud Antoniana signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Alvarado signalCasa clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 40%.

Match questions

Juventud Antoniana vs CA Alvarado FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Pareggio · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud Antoniana vinta 29%,Pareggio 40%,CA Alvarado vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.15 · Sopra 2.5 11% · Current selection Sotto