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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Wedstrijd ·

Juventud Antoniana vs CA Alvarado

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.15 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst29%
Gelijkspel40%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastGelijkspelTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callGelijkspel40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud AntonianaCA Alvarado
Expected goals1.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder89% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
29% / 40% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatGelijkspel40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juventud Antoniana win (28.7%)Dubbele KansX271.3%1.40
Boven 11% · Onder 89%Goals 2.5Onder89%1.12
Ja 20% · Nee 80%Beide teams scorenNee80%1.25
1.15 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Juventud Antoniana win29%3.45
Gelijkspel40%2.50
CA Alvarado win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud Antoniana0.55

Thuis share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals1.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 11% · Onder 89%

CA Alvarado0.60

Uit share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 20% · Nee 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Juventud Antoniana

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CA Alvarado

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.55
Expected goals
0.60
Juventud AntonianaCA Alvarado
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud Antoniana signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Alvarado signalThuis clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 40%.

Match questions

Juventud Antoniana vs CA Alvarado FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Gelijkspel · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud Antoniana gewonnen 29%,Gelijkspel 40%,CA Alvarado gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.15 · Boven 2.5 11% · Current selection Onder