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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Partita ·

Sportivo Belgrano vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa56%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite17%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo BelgranoCA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
56% / 28% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (16.7%)Doppia Chance1X83.3%1.20
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.51 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapSportivo Belgrano winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Belgrano win56%1.791.6554.6%+1.4 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2028.2%-0.2 pp
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Belgrano1.88

Casa share of expected goals 74.9%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela0.63

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sportivo Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Punti5

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.63
Sportivo BelgranoCA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Belgrano signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA 9 de Julio Rafaela signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sportivo Belgrano vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Belgrano vinta 56%,Pareggio 28%,CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto