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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Spiel ·

Sportivo Belgrano vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg56%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sportivo BelgranoCA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
56% / 28% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (16.7%)Doppelte Chance1X83.3%1.20
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 40% · Nein 60%Beide Teams treffenNein60%1.67
2.51 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapSportivo Belgrano winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Belgrano win56%1.791.6554.6%+1.4 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2028.2%-0.2 pp
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Belgrano1.88

Heim share of expected goals 74.9%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela0.63

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nein 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sportivo Belgrano

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Punkte5

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.63
Sportivo BelgranoCA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Belgrano signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA 9 de Julio Rafaela signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sportivo Belgrano vs CA 9 de Julio Rafaela FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Belgrano Gewinn 56%,Unentschieden 28%,CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter