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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Мач ·

Спортиво Белграно vs Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен28%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Спортиво БелграноНуеве де Хулио Рафаела
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 28% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела win (16.7%)Двоен шанс1X83.3%1.20
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 40% · Не 60%И двата отбора да отбележатНе60%1.67
2.51 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.9 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapСпортиво Белграно winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Спортиво Белграно win56%1.791.6554.6%+1.4 pp
Равен28%3.573.2028.2%-0.2 pp
Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела win17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортиво Белграно1.88

Домакин share of expected goals 74.9%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела0.63

Гост share of expected goals 25.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Не 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Спортиво Белграно

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Точки5

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.88
Expected goals
0.63
Спортиво БелграноНуеве де Хулио Рафаела
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортиво Белграно signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Спортиво Белграно vs Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортиво Белграно печеливш 56%,Равен 28%,Нуеве де Хулио Рафаела печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под