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ENG Inghilterra - National League · Partita ·

Aldershot vs Hartlepool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa38%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AldershotHartlepool
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 28% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Doppia Chance1271.5%1.40
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 55% · No 45%Entrambe le squadre segnano55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Aldershot win38%2.63
Pareggio28%3.57
Hartlepool win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aldershot1.41

Casa share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Hartlepool1.30

Trasferta share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Hartlepool

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
1.30
AldershotHartlepool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aldershot signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hartlepool signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Aldershot vs Hartlepool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aldershot vinta 38%,Pareggio 28%,Hartlepool vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra