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ENG England - National League · Kamp ·

Aldershot vs Hartlepool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr34%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AldershotHartlepool
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 28% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dobbeltchance1271.5%1.40
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Aldershot win38%2.63
Uafgjort28%3.57
Hartlepool win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aldershot1.41

Hjemme share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Hartlepool1.30

Ude share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hartlepool

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
1.30
AldershotHartlepool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aldershot signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hartlepool signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Aldershot vs Hartlepool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aldershot vundet 38%,Uafgjort 28%,Hartlepool vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over