MatchFormula Leia mäng
Menu
UTC+8
AjavööndAsia/Shanghai
Eesti
ENG Inglismaa National League · Mäng ·

Aldershot vs Hartlepool

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit38%
Viik28%
Võõrsilvõit34%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit38% selection probability
Projected score1–1AldershotHartlepool
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle51% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
38% / 28% / 34%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Topeltvõimalus1271.5%1.40
Üle 51% · Alla 49%Goals 2.5Üle51%1.96
Jah 55% · Ei 45%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Aldershot win38%2.63
Viik28%3.57
Hartlepool win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aldershot1.41

Kodu share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 51% · Alla 49%

Hartlepool1.30

Võõras share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 55% · Ei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Aldershot

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Hartlepool

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Võit probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
1.30
AldershotHartlepool
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aldershot signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hartlepool signalKodu failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Aldershot vs Hartlepool FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aldershot võit 38%,Viik 28%,Hartlepool võit 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Üle 2.5 51% · Current selection Üle