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ENG Англия - Национална Лига · Мач ·

Алдършот vs Хартлипул

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.71 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен28%
Победа за госта34%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score1–1АлдършотХартлипул
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 28% / 34%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Двоен шанс1271.5%1.40
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 55% · Не 45%И двата отбора да отбележатДа55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Алдършот win38%2.63
Равен28%3.57
Хартлипул win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алдършот1.41

Домакин share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Хартлипул1.30

Гост share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Не 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алдършот

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Хартлипул

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.41
Expected goals
1.30
АлдършотХартлипул
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алдършот signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хартлипул signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Алдършот vs Хартлипул FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алдършот печеливш 38%,Равен 28%,Хартлипул печеливш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над