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SCO Skócia - League One · Round 1 ·

Hamilton vs Alloa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem53%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem20%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem53% selection probability
Projected score1–1HamiltonAlloa
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt56% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
53% / 27% / 20%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alloa win (19.7%)Dupla esély1X80.3%1.25
Felett 44% · Alatt 56%Goals 2.5Alatt56%1.79
Igen 50% · Nem 50%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.2 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapHamilton winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hamilton win53%1.891.6754.3%-1.3 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Alloa win20%5.004.7519.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamilton1.38

Hazai share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 44% · Alatt 56%

Alloa1.07

Vendég share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 50% · Nem 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Hamilton

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Alloa

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Nyert probability excluding draw
20%
12
Points from supplied form
4
1.38
Expected goals
1.07
HamiltonAlloa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamilton signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alloa signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Hamilton vs Alloa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamilton nyer 53%,Döntetlen 27%,Alloa nyer 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · 2.5 felett 44% · Current selection Alatt