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USA USA USL Championship · Mérkőzés ·

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem39%
Döntetlen32%
Vendég győzelem29%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sacramento RepublicRhode Island FC
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt69% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
39% / 32% / 29%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rhode Island FC win (28.6%)Dupla esély1X71.4%1.40
Felett 31% · Alatt 69%Goals 2.5Alatt69%1.45
Igen 38% · Nem 62%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem62%1.61
1.95 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.1 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Sacramento Republic win39%2.56
Döntetlen32%3.13
Rhode Island FC win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sacramento Republic1.12

Hazai share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 31% · Alatt 69%

Rhode Island FC0.83

Vendég share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 38% · Nem 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Rhode Island FC

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Nyert probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
0.83
Sacramento RepublicRhode Island FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sacramento Republic signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rhode Island FC signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sacramento Republic nyer 39%,Döntetlen 32%,Rhode Island FC nyer 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · 2.5 felett 31% · Current selection Alatt