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USA USA USL Championship · Partida ·

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante29%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sacramento RepublicRhode Island FC
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo69% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 32% / 29%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rhode Island FC win (28.6%)Dupla Chance1X71.4%1.40
Acima 31% · Abaixo 69%Goals 2.5Abaixo69%1.45
Sim 38% · Não 62%Ambas as equipes marcamNão62%1.61
1.95 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Sacramento Republic win39%2.56
Empate32%3.13
Rhode Island FC win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sacramento Republic1.12

Mandante share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 31% · Abaixo 69%

Rhode Island FC0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 38% · Não 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Rhode Island FC

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
0.83
Sacramento RepublicRhode Island FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sacramento Republic signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rhode Island FC signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sacramento Republic ganhou 39%,Empate 32%,Rhode Island FC ganhou 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Acima 2.5 31% · Current selection Abaixo