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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win52%
Draw24%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score2–1ZhejiangWuhan Three Towns
Expected goals3.49Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 24% / 24%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wuhan Three Towns win (24%)Double chance1X76%1.32
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.49 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Zhejiang win52%1.92
Draw24%4.17
Wuhan Three Towns win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zhejiang2.26

Home share of expected goals 64.8%

Total expected goals3.49Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Wuhan Three Towns1.23

Away share of expected goals 35.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zhejiang

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wuhan Three Towns

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.26
Expected goals
1.23
ZhejiangWuhan Three Towns
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zhejiang signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wuhan Three Towns signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zhejiang win 52%,Draw 24%,Wuhan Three Towns win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over