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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Fixture ·

Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win17%
Draw29%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Chile
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 29% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad de Concepcion win (17.2%)Double chanceX282.8%1.21
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
2.07 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Universidad de Concepcion win17%5.88
Draw29%3.45
Universidad de Chile win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Concepcion0.52

Home share of expected goals 25.1%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Universidad de Chile1.55

Away share of expected goals 74.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Universidad de Chile

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
0
Points from supplied form
12
0.52
Expected goals
1.55
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Chile
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Concepcion signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad de Chile signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Concepcion win 17%,Draw 29%,Universidad de Chile win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under