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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Fixture ·

Sonderjyske vs Viborg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.61 expected goals
Away form
Home win25%
Draw24%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–1SonderjyskeViborg
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 24% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.61 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapSonderjyske winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sonderjyske win25%4.003.9024%+1.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.9024%0.0 pp
Viborg win51%1.961.8052%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sonderjyske1.32

Home share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Viborg1.29

Away share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sonderjyske

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Viborg

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.29
SonderjyskeViborg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sonderjyske signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Viborg signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sonderjyske vs Viborg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sonderjyske win 25%,Draw 24%,Viborg win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under