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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw30%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FCShaanxi Union
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 30% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win (27.3%)Double chanceX272.7%1.38
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 34% · No 66%Both teams scoreNo66%1.52
1.90 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapShijiazhuang Gongfu FC winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win27%3.703.2028.1%-1.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Shaanxi Union win43%2.332.1541.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.65

Home share of expected goals 34.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

Shaanxi Union1.25

Away share of expected goals 65.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Shaanxi Union

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.65
Expected goals
1.25
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FCShaanxi Union
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaanxi Union signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win 27%,Draw 30%,Shaanxi Union win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under