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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa27%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante43%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Shijiazhuang Gongfu FCShaanxi Union
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo70% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
27% / 30% / 43%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win (27.3%)Dupla ChanceX272.7%1.38
Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%Goals 2.5Abaixo70%1.43
Sim 34% · Não 66%Ambas as equipes marcamNão66%1.52
1.90 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapShijiazhuang Gongfu FC winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win27%3.703.2028.1%-1.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Shaanxi Union win43%2.332.1541.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC0.65

Mandante share of expected goals 34.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%

Shaanxi Union1.25

Visitante share of expected goals 65.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 34% · Não 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shaanxi Union

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
8
0.65
Expected goals
1.25
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FCShaanxi Union
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shaanxi Union signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shaanxi Union FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC ganhou 27%,Empate 30%,Shaanxi Union ganhou 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Acima 2.5 30% · Current selection Abaixo