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JPN Japan J3-League · Round 1 ·

Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw27%
Away win33%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 33%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagamihara win40%2.502.2539.8%
Draw27%3.703.2527.6%
Roasso Kumamoto win33%3.032.7532.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagamihara1.43

Home share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Roasso Kumamoto1.26

Away share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sagamihara

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Roasso Kumamoto

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.43
Expected goals
1.26
SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagamihara signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roasso Kumamoto signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagamihara win 40%,Draw 27%,Roasso Kumamoto win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over