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JPN Japão - Liga J3 · Round 1 ·

Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa41%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante32%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima50% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
41% / 28% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dupla Chance1272.4%1.38
Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%Goals 2.5Acima50%2.00
Sim 55% · Não 45%Ambas as equipes marcamSim55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagamihara win41%2.442.2040.4%
Empate28%3.573.2027.8%
Roasso Kumamoto win32%3.132.8031.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagamihara1.44

Mandante share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%

Roasso Kumamoto1.25

Visitante share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 55% · Não 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sagamihara

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Roasso Kumamoto

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.44
Expected goals
1.25
SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagamihara signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roasso Kumamoto signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagamihara ganhou 41%,Empate 28%,Roasso Kumamoto ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Acima 2.5 50% · Current selection Acima