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NOR Norway Division 1 · Round 14 ·

Strommen vs Ranheim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw24%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–2StrommenRanheim
Expected goals3.75Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 24% / 35%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapRanheim winDifference+1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Strommen win41%2.442.2042.3%-1.3 pp
Draw24%4.173.8024.5%-0.5 pp
Ranheim win35%2.862.8033.2%+1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Strommen1.49

Home share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals3.75Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Ranheim2.26

Away share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Strommen

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ranheim

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.49
Expected goals
2.26
StrommenRanheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Strommen signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ranheim signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Strommen vs Ranheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Strommen win 41%,Draw 24%,Ranheim win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over