Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 30% / 24%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puerto Montt win (23.6%)Double chance1X76.4%1.31
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Santiago Wanderers win46%2.17
Draw30%3.33
Puerto Montt win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 64.8%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%
Away share of expected goals 35.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSantiago Wanderers
DDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchPuerto Montt
LDWWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
24%8
Points from supplied form
81.42
Expected goals
0.77Santiago WanderersPuerto Montt
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Santiago Wanderers win 46%，Draw 30%，Puerto Montt win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under。