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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 21 ·

Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw27%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes TemucoDeportes Recoleta
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 25%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportes Recoleta win (25.2%)Double chance1X74.8%1.34
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Deportes Temuco win48%2.08
Draw27%3.70
Deportes Recoleta win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Temuco1.85

Home share of expected goals 63.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Deportes Recoleta1.08

Away share of expected goals 36.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportes Temuco

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportes Recoleta

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.85
Expected goals
1.08
Deportes TemucoDeportes Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Temuco signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Recoleta signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Temuco win 48%,Draw 27%,Deportes Recoleta win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over