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CHL Chile - Primera B · Final ·

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersPuerto Montt
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 30% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puerto Montt win (23.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X76.4%1.31
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.19 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Santiago Wanderers win46%2.17
Empate30%3.33
Puerto Montt win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.42

Local share of expected goals 64.8%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%

Puerto Montt0.77

Visitante share of expected goals 35.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Puerto Montt

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
8
1.42
Expected goals
0.77
Santiago WanderersPuerto Montt
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puerto Montt signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers ganada 46%,Empate 30%,Puerto Montt ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de